Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 240.542783 271.057540 304.886007 345.334828 392.599676 446.342175 512.443451
2025-03-30 190.576270 229.566690 276.547018 337.960077 417.064187 516.832644 654.296349
2025-04-06 164.517471 206.966617 261.004369 336.048313 439.518906 580.152552 791.112300
2025-04-13 141.321211 183.515900 239.453958 320.757503 438.884468 609.179361 882.848482
2025-04-20 132.057329 176.742200 238.333453 331.922468 475.161357 694.377042 1072.857813
2025-04-27 125.364361 172.386748 239.520217 345.778097 516.505469 793.111204 1305.389765
2025-05-04 116.334612 163.536200 232.898532 346.473258 536.605337 860.133703 1497.544148
2025-05-11 106.313694 152.159093 221.141079 337.315586 538.624733 895.813105 1638.511418
2025-05-18 98.155036 142.817450 211.501353 330.244416 542.800799 935.336583 1795.532943
2025-05-25 94.598408 140.225148 212.148339 340.278506 578.442298 1039.464065 2115.517314
2025-06-01 89.380064 134.524521 207.151971 339.807991 594.332768 1107.258755 2372.263669
2025-06-08 83.733363 127.674970 199.611913 333.872181 598.709168 1151.756454 2585.129031
2025-06-15 79.728937 123.335681 196.126374 335.313450 618.637374 1235.015789 2928.267887
2025-06-22 74.730462 116.982002 188.651368 328.485402 620.743743 1279.104686 3181.370679
2025-06-29 70.980115 112.475347 184.038423 326.626206 633.024471 1349.299185 3535.323626
2025-07-06 65.687194 104.951946 173.435422 311.859471 615.054676 1342.385881 3649.913559
2025-07-13 64.413217 104.375259 175.429868 322.642733 655.980034 1492.765621 4338.576814
2025-07-20 63.528015 104.410625 178.532001 336.020651 705.073345 1676.731963 5237.882407
2025-07-27 61.108600 101.498349 175.798725 336.691729 723.685793 1780.725887 5890.526589
2025-08-03 57.751399 96.660873 169.002018 327.850436 717.374098 1810.990071 6258.775757
2025-08-10 54.869182 92.546332 163.348264 321.022235 715.336904 1854.131217 6708.547148
2025-08-17 53.981587 92.118686 164.959176 330.711204 758.002539 2047.802507 7974.806821
2025-08-24 52.083393 89.653321 162.284568 330.256924 773.335206 2156.910793 8901.130804